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EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts Brent near $100 per barrel and reports U.S. commercial crude at 410 million barrels

EIA November STEO shows Brent near $100/b, U.S. commercial crude 410 million barrels at end‑October, and OPEC liquids 24.5 million b/d.

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At a glance

The U.S. Energy Information Administration in its November Short-Term Energy Outlook says Brent crude is expected to remain near $100 per barrel for the remainder of the year and reports U.S. commercial crude inventories were 410 million barrels at the end of October. The STEO tables also show OPEC total liquid fuels production forecast 24.5 million barrels per day, up from a previous 23.9.

  • EIA November STEO shows Brent near $100/b, U.S. commercial crude 410 million barrels at end‑October, and OPEC liquids 24.5 million b/d.
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CHRONOS Wire · November 11 · Alert 12

What happened

The U.S. Energy Information Administration in its November Short-Term Energy Outlook says Brent crude is expected to stay near $100 per barrel for the rest of the year, and it reports U.S. commercial crude inventories were 410 million barrels at the end of October. The outlook also publishes an updated OPEC total liquids production forecast of 24.5 million barrels per day.

Why it matters

These are official, recent government figures that can influence market pricing and risk assessments in the near term.

CHRONOS Bottom Line

The EIA STEO reiterates near‑term oil price support and documents materially low U.S. crude stocks, which are relevant to market participants and refiners.

Full detail

What changed

The November STEO publishes updated price and supply figures: Brent forecast near $100 per barrel for the remainder of the year, U.S. commercial crude inventories of 410 million barrels at end‑October, and an OPEC total liquids production forecast of 24.5 million b/d (previous 23.9).

What is genuinely new

EIA published its November Short-Term Energy Outlook with updated forecasts and tables showing Brent near $100/b for the remainder of the year, U.S. commercial crude at 410 million barrels at end‑October, and an OPEC total liquids forecast of 24.5 million b/d.

Detailed analysis

The November STEO text states Brent is expected to remain near $100 per barrel for the remainder of the year. The accompanying press release highlights U.S. commercial crude inventories of 410 million barrels at end‑October. STEO tables show OPEC total liquid fuels production forecast at 24.5 million b/d versus a previous forecast of 23.9 million b/d. These published figures together indicate continued price support and relatively low reported U.S. crude stocks.

U.S. Impact

Current impact

Low

EIA reports U.S. commercial crude at 410 million barrels at end‑October, a multi‑year low for end‑October which tightens domestic crude buffers.

Potential impact

Elevated

Sustained Brent near $100 and low U.S. crude stocks increase the risk of upward pressure on domestic fuel prices and tighter refinery margins into the near term.

Impact type
Direct
Confidence
High

U.S. Impact is an analytical assessment of the estimated current and potential effects on the United States. It is not a probability forecast.

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