IMD: system in southeast Bay of Bengal on 31 Oct likely to become a cyclonic storm by 1 Nov and a severe cyclonic storm by 2 Nov
IMD 31 Oct bulletin: system likely to intensify to cyclonic storm by 1 Nov and severe cyclonic storm by 2 Nov while moving west-northwestwards in the Bay of Bengal.
- Urgency
- L3
- 88
- 80
- 50
- 100
- 85
At a glance
On 31 October the India Meteorological Department said a system in the southeast Bay of Bengal is very likely to move west-northwestwards, intensify into a deep depression by noon on 31 October, into a cyclonic storm by midnight of 1 November, and into a severe cyclonic storm on 2 November. The forecasted intensification and movement warrant monitoring by coastal authorities and responders in the Bay of Bengal region.
- IMD 31 Oct bulletin: system likely to intensify to cyclonic storm by 1 Nov and severe cyclonic storm by 2 Nov while moving west-northwestwards in the Bay of Bengal.
CHRONOS Wire · November 1 · Alert 2
What happened
On 31 October the India Meteorological Department said a low over the southeast Bay of Bengal is likely to become a deep depression by midday on 31 October, strengthen into a cyclonic storm by 1 November, and into a severe cyclonic storm by 2 November while moving west-northwestwards.
Why it matters
IMD's forecasted intensification window covers 31 October through 2 November, so authorities and responders should monitor updates immediately for possible escalation of coastal impacts.
CHRONOS Bottom Line
IMD forecasts a Bay of Bengal system identified on 31 October to intensify to a cyclonic storm by 1 November and to a severe cyclonic storm by 2 November while moving west-northwestwards; coastal authorities in the Bay of Bengal region should monitor updates.
Full detail
What changed
The IMD sea area bulletin on 31 October stated the system was likely to move west-northwestwards and intensify from a low into a deep depression by noon of 31 October, into a Cyclonic Storm by midnight of 1 November, and into a Severe Cyclonic Storm on 2 November over the Bay of Bengal.
What is genuinely new
IMD's 31 October sea area bulletin projects intensification from a low into a deep depression by noon 31 October, into a Cyclonic Storm by midnight 1 November, and into a Severe Cyclonic Storm on 2 November over the Bay of Bengal.
Detailed analysis
The IMD bulletin explicitly forecasts stepwise intensification while the system moves west-northwestwards through the Bay of Bengal, reaching Cyclonic Storm intensity by 1 November and Severe Cyclonic Storm intensity by 2 November. The bulletin does not specify a particular landfall state or reference other recent cyclones; therefore this alert confines claims to IMD's announced intensification and movement.
U.S. Impact
U.S. Impact assessment pending.